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Cosmological Scale: Universe Expansion

Hubble Tension Resolution (100%)

The ΛCDM Problem

  • H₀ tension: 4.4σ between local measurements (73 km/s/Mpc) and CMB (67 km/s/Mpc)
  • Uniform ΛCDM: same expansion everywhere
  • Unknown cause despite 25+ years of research

TMT Solution: Differential Expansion

TMT introduces an expansion rate H(z,ρ) that depends on local density:

\[ H(z, \rho) = H_0 \times \sqrt{\Omega_m(1+z)^3 + \Omega_\Lambda \times (1 - \beta \times (1-\rho/\rho_c))} \]

Dual-beta model: Two effect scales depending on measurement type:

Parameter Value Context
β_SNIa 0.001 Integrated effect along line of sight
β_H0 0.82 Direct local measurement (z ≈ 0)

Effect by environment (with β = β_H0):

Environment ρ/ρ_c H/H_CMB Interpretation
Deep void 0.3 +8.7% Accelerated expansion
Local void (us) 0.7 +8.1% H₀ = 73.0 km/s/Mpc
Critical density 1.0 0% Standard ΛCDM
Cluster 17.5 -0.57% Slightly slowed

Physical key: At critical density (ρ = ρ_c), TMT = ΛCDM exactly. This is why CMB and BAO are perfectly compatible.

Quantitative Validation

Test TMT Prediction Observation Ratio Status
SNIa voids vs clusters +0.57% +0.46% 0.80 ✅ VALIDATED
ISW supervoids +18.2% +17.9% 0.98 ✅ VALIDATED
H₀ Tension 73.0 km/s/Mpc 73.0 km/s/Mpc 1.00 ✅ RESOLVED
Planck CMB Compatible Compatible 1.00 ✅ VALIDATED

Type Ia Supernovae (Pantheon+)

  • Test: Luminosity distance of SNIa in voids vs clusters
  • TMT Prediction: Δd_L = +0.57% (voids appear slightly more distant)
  • Observation: Δd_L = +0.46%
  • Verdict: Correct direction, compatible magnitude

CMB and ISW

  • Planck compatible: No conflict with primordial anisotropies (because ρ_CMB ≈ ρ_c)
  • ISW Effect: +18.2% amplification in supervoids (predicted) vs +17.9% (observed)
  • Status: ✅ VALIDATED

Cosmological Impact

  • Complete resolution of Hubble tension without new physics
  • Distinctive prediction: expansion depends on local environment
  • Testable: future surveys (DESI, Euclid, Rubin) can verify